{"id":43708,"date":"2022-09-12T22:29:19","date_gmt":"2022-09-12T19:29:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/api.pozirk.online\/articles\/ukrainian-counteroffensive-an-alarming-sign-for-lukasenka-analyst\/"},"modified":"2026-02-24T20:29:13","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T20:29:13","slug":"ukrainian-counteroffensive-an-alarming-sign-for-lukasenka-analyst","status":"publish","type":"articles","link":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/","title":{"rendered":"Ukrainian counteroffensive an alarming sign for \u0141uka\u0161enka \u2013 analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>September 12, <span>BPN.<\/span><\/b> Ukraine\u2019s counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region is an alarming sign for Alaksandr \u0141uka\u0161enka, not only for the Kremlin, EAST Center research director Andrej Jelisieje\u016d told <span>BPN<\/span>.<\/p>\n<p> He does not expect that officials Minsk \u201cwill try to seriously flirt with the West tomorrow.\u201d There will be no turning point soon, but the situation can change in the event of the Ukrainian Armed Forces\u2019 further victorious actions and increasing advantage on the front, Jelisieje\u016d said. In this scenario, he added, \u201cMinsk is likely to try to forecast the political consequences for Russia.\u201d<\/p>\n<p> \u201cIt is one thing if the Kremlin suddenly plans a change in domestic and foreign policy due to Ukraine\u2019s military successes and the West\u2019s economic measures. And another thing if the war eventually ends in an actual loss or a Pyrrhic victory for Moscow, but the Kremlin, with the help of violent propaganda, censorship and harassment, manages to \u2018sell\u2019 it to the populace as a limited success and preserve the domestic political situation,\u201d the analyst continued.<\/p>\n<p> In the latter case, he said, the position of \u0141uka\u0161enka and Belarus \u201cis unlikely to change qualitatively.\u201d From Jelisieje\u016d\u2019s perspective, a more favorable outcome for \u0141uka\u0161enka would be the absence of a clear winner, with all parties significantly weakened, including the West.<\/p>\n<p> If Moscow has a meaningful victory, it would be very difficult for the \u0141uka\u0161enka regime to evade an extremely tight integration with Russia, which is already going on, the analyst said.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrainian forces recaptured Izium and Kupiansk over the weekend as part of a counteroffensive, dealing a painful blow to Russian occupying forces.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>September 12, BPN. Ukraine\u2019s counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region is an alarming sign for Alaksandr \u0141uka\u0161enka, not only for the Kremlin, EAST Center research director Andrej Jelisieje\u016d told BPN. He does not expect that officials Minsk \u201cwill try to seriously flirt with the West tomorrow.\u201d There will be no turning point soon, but the situation [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":75,"featured_media":0,"template":"","rubric":[16],"class_list":["post-43708","articles","type-articles","status-publish","hentry","rubric-politics"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ukrainian counteroffensive an alarming sign for \u0141uka\u0161enka \u2013 analyst | Pozirk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"September 12, BPN. 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Ukraine\u2019s counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region is an alarming sign for Alaksandr \u0141uka\u0161enka, not only for the Kremlin, EAST Center","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Ukrainian counteroffensive an alarming sign for \u0141uka\u0161enka \u2013 analyst | Pozirk","og_description":"September 12, BPN. Ukraine\u2019s counteroffensive in the Kharkiv region is an alarming sign for Alaksandr \u0141uka\u0161enka, not only for the Kremlin, EAST Center","og_url":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/","og_site_name":"Pozirk","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pozirkonline\/","article_modified_time":"2026-02-24T20:29:13+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@Pozirk_online","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/"},"headline":"Ukrainian counteroffensive an alarming sign for \u0141uka\u0161enka \u2013 analyst","datePublished":"2022-09-12T19:29:19+00:00","dateModified":"2026-02-24T20:29:13+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/"},"wordCount":280,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/#organization"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/","url":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/43708\/","name":"Ukrainian counteroffensive an alarming sign for \u0141uka\u0161enka \u2013 analyst | Pozirk","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2022-09-12T19:29:19+00:00","dateModified":"2026-02-24T20:29:13+00:00","description":"September 12, BPN. 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