{"id":91631,"date":"2024-06-19T20:56:57","date_gmt":"2024-06-19T17:56:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/91631\/"},"modified":"2026-03-09T20:10:49","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T20:10:49","slug":"diplomat-west-not-ready-to-make-concessions-to-lukasenka-fears-provoking-him","status":"publish","type":"articles","link":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/news\/91631\/","title":{"rendered":"Diplomat: West not ready to make concessions to \u0141uka\u0161enka, fears provoking him"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\n\n \"\"\n
\n \n <\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

June 19, Pozirk<\/em>.<\/strong> Belarus’ relations with Western countries have dead-ended, said Pavie\u0142 \u015alu\u0144kin, a visiting fellow of the European Council on Foreign Relations, at an online presentation of the Belarus Change Tracker report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Union and the United States “are not ready to make concessions to the regime in Minsk to unfreeze ties. At the same time, they are extremely cautious in their actions and fear of provoking further aggravation of the military-political situation in the region because of [Alaksandar] \u0141uka\u0161enka’s destructive actions.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u015alu\u0144kin, a former Belarusian diplomat, said that Western countries have resigned themselves to the lack of tools to change the Belarusian government\u2019s behavior.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This “cements the current state of affairs, leaving the country exposed to exclusive political, military, economic and information dominance of Russia,” he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although “a trend towards a reduction in the Russian military presence” in Belarus has been recorded for the first time in two years, “the integration track with Russia brings Belarusian laws closer to Russian ones, narrowing the existing legal, regulatory and social differences between the countries,” the analyst continued.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He pointed out that the Belarusian foreign ministry has expanded \u201cthe geography of \u0141uka\u0161enka’s international contacts, reducing the gap on [opposition leader] \u015aviat\u0142ana Cichano\u016dskaja.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to \u015alu\u0144kin, lobbying for sanctions is no longer a foreign policy priority for the Belarusian opposition, which is focused on “maintaining channels of communication with Belarusian society, the need to issue visas and promote mobility and prevent the isolation of Belarusians.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A team of Belarusian experts prepares Belarus Change Tracker every three months to record and analyze macrotrends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Besides \u015alu\u0144kin, the team includes Sense Analytics founder Arciom \u0160rajbman, BEROC academic director Le\u016d Lvo\u016dski, Center for New Ideas director Lesia Rudnik, independent sociologist Filip Bikana\u016d, and Belarusian Academy program director Hiennad\u017a Kor\u0161una\u016d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n
\n