{"id":208497,"date":"2026-10-22T16:36:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T13:36:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/longreads\/208497\/"},"modified":"2026-10-22T16:36:28","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T13:36:28","slug":"budget-2027-guns-before-butter","status":"publish","type":"longreads","link":"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/en\/longreads\/208497\/","title":{"rendered":"Budget 2027: Guns before butter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"block-image block-image-normal\">\n\n    <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1128\" height=\"752\" src=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk.jpg 1128w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk-354x236.jpg 354w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk-734x490.jpg 734w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk-178x118.jpg 178w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget3_collage_pozirk-768x512.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1128px) 100vw, 1128px\" \/>\n    <figcaption>\n        \n                    <div class=\"block-image__author\">\n                                <span>(Paviel Rusak\/minsknews.by, Pul Pervogo \/ Pozirk&#039;s collage)<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Security spending on the rise<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Rising defense and security spending is a trend across the region. Russia and Ukraine are directly involved in the confrontation, while countries nearby are also increasing military spending. Belarus is no exception: the defense and security component of the national budget continues to expand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some countries are increasing military budgets to strengthen their defense capabilities, others to finance military operations, while Alaksandar \u0141uka\u0161enka is spending heavily on tightening authoritarian control over society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spending also provides a clear indication of the power wielded by security agencies, particularly their influence within the government: which agencies have the most clout, which can turn that influence into budget allocations, and which secure priority funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking at a sufficiently long period, it becomes clear that Belarus\u2019 security apparatus has been claiming an increasingly large share of the budget pie each year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The state is in no hurry to cut spending in these areas, and actual funding for some agencies sometimes exceeds initial plans. However, the distribution of funds within the security apparatus is far from even.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">All security agencies get bigger slices<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Belarus\u2019 national budget, spending on security agencies is concentrated primarily in two major sections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first is national defense, which is slated to receive 5.19 billion rubels ($1.7 billion) in 2027, almost 15 percent more than in 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The second covers the judiciary, law enforcement and security. Spending in this section is set to rise by 11.5 percent, from 6.7 billion to 7.47 billion rubels ($2.5 billion).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This section covers the interior and emergencies ministries, prosecutors\u2019 offices, the border service, state security agencies, the penal system, courts, customs, as well as various security programs and research.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/30657244\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/30657244\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"chart visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Together, these two areas account for almost 12.7 billion rubels, or about 21 percent of national budget expenditures. Particularly telling is that their funding is growing much faster than overall budget spending, which is projected to increase by just 3.6 percent next year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A closer look at the budget figures shows that virtually every part of the security apparatus is set to receive more money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The largest item within the law enforcement section is the interior ministry, which is slated to receive 2.78 billion rubels, up from 2.52 billion a year earlier. This represents an additional 265 million rubels, or an increase of 10.5 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the interior ministry is not among the agencies with the fastest funding growth. Spending on the prosecutor\u2019s office, for example, will rise by 16.2 percent, on the courts by 14.7 percent, on the border service by 14.4 percent, and on state security agencies by 13 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, funding for the penal system will increase by about 10 percent, customs by 11.3 percent, and emergency response agencies and units by 8.5 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some smaller budget items show even more impressive percentage increases, including scientific research in the field of security. However, the low-base effect should be taken into account: growth of even tens of percent may amount to just a few million rubels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In absolute terms, therefore, the interior ministry remains the largest recipient of funding within the law enforcement section, accounting for more than a third of its expenditures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In terms of growth rates, however, the prosecutor\u2019s office, courts and border service lead the way. Their shares of this section are increasing slightly, while the interior ministry\u2019s share is declining marginally despite its substantial funding increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other words, all parts of the security apparatus are seeking more money, but the additional funds are being distributed unevenly. This difference is worth examining: the budget shows not only how much the state is willing to spend on security but also which areas receive priority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, these figures do not capture all state spending on security agencies. Some of their funding comes under seemingly unrelated budget items, including social spending.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, the interior ministry is to receive 180.5 million rubels under the education item and an additional 145.1 million under health care. The defense ministry is slated to receive 120.6 million rubels for health care, while separate allocations are also provided for physical education, sports and culture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Who gets extra funding?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Spending on security agencies is not limited to the two budget items directly associated with them, meaning their actual funding is higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A comparison of budget allocations with actual expenditures in recent years shows that the security apparatus often receives more than initially budgeted.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/30657275\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/30657275\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"chart visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>This is particularly true of the judiciary, law enforcement and security item. In every year from 2021 through 2025, actual spending exceeded the initial allocations. The surplus amounted to about 107 million rubels in 2022 and had reached 240 million by 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The picture is somewhat different for national defense. In 2022, actual spending exceeded the projection by as much as 26 percent. In 2024 and 2025, however, it fell below the initial allocations by approximately 12 percent and 4 percent, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It would be premature, though, to conclude that the state has suddenly decided to economize on the military. Some of the shortfalls might have resulted not from reductions in the day-to-day costs of maintaining the armed forces but from the postponement or cancellation of planned purchases of weapons and military equipment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most weapons and equipment for the Belarusian army traditionally come from Russia, which has faced enormous demand for them since launching its full-scale war against Ukraine. It is therefore plausible that Moscow might have not been able to supply Belarus with certain types of weapons, forcing some planned purchases to be postponed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even among security agencies that regularly receive more than initially budgeted, some fare better than others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Comparing budget plans with actual spending from 2022 through 2025 makes it possible to identify the three agencies that have been most successful in securing additional funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>State security agencies lead the list: over those four years, their actual expenditures exceeded initial allocations by an average of 8.6 percent. The border service followed with an average surplus of 5 percent, and the interior ministry with 4.5 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Those guarding the regime get the most extra funding<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking back at our series of articles on the budget, we can conclude that Belarus\u2019 national budget is becoming increasingly generous toward security agencies year after year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Defense and security spending in Belarus is nowhere near comparable to that of Russia, for example. But this says less about the Belarusian authorities\u2019 willingness to spend more on the security apparatus than about the limited capacity of the economy and public finances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The security apparatus remains a priority, with the size of the budget pie serving as the main constraint on its appetite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, even substantial increases planned at the beginning of the year are often supplemented by additional spending. Law enforcement agencies, many of which play a largely repressive role in Belarus, regularly receive additional funding as the budget is implemented.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is another telling sign of how well the saying \u201cguns instead of butter\u201d describes the essence of the country\u2019s budget policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"insert-block\">\n\n    <div class=\"insert-block__img\">\n        <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"354\" height=\"236\" src=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk-354x236.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk-354x236.jpg 354w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk-734x490.jpg 734w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk-178x118.jpg 178w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget2_collage_pozirk.jpg 1128w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 354px) 100vw, 354px\" \/>                        <label class=\"insert-block__tag--mobile\"> The Viewer<\/label>\n\n                <\/div>\n    <div class=\"insert-block__text\">\n                    <label class=\"insert-block__tag\">The Viewer<\/label>\n                <h3 class=\"insert-block__title\">Budget 2027: Defense spending to rise by 15 percent<\/h3>\n        <div class=\"insert-block__descr\">Officials counting on the public\u2019s pockets and businesses\u2019 bank accounts In 2027, the government plans to collect 58.9 billion rubels ($20 billion) in national budget revenue, 4.5 billion rubels, or 8.3 percent, more than projected for 2026. Taxes will be &#8230;<\/div>\n        <a class=\"insert-block__btn-block\" href=\"\/en\/longreads\/208473\">\n            <button class=\"btn\">\n                <div class='btn__text'>Read the article<\/div>\n            <\/button>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"insert-block\">\n\n    <div class=\"insert-block__img\">\n        <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"354\" height=\"236\" src=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk-354x236.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk-354x236.jpg 354w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk-734x490.jpg 734w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk-178x118.jpg 178w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/pozirk.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/budget1_collage_pozirk.jpg 1128w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 354px) 100vw, 354px\" \/>                        <label class=\"insert-block__tag--mobile\"> The Viewer<\/label>\n\n                <\/div>\n    <div class=\"insert-block__text\">\n                    <label class=\"insert-block__tag\">The Viewer<\/label>\n                <h3 class=\"insert-block__title\">Budget 2027: Revenue to rise, but spending to be more restrained<\/h3>\n        <div class=\"insert-block__descr\">Budget to grow at a slower pace The 2027 draft national budget projects revenue of 58.9 billion rubels ($20 billion) and expenditure of 60.8 billion rubels ($20.4 billion). Compared with the 2026 budget plan, the government expects to collect 4.5 &#8230;<\/div>\n        <a class=\"insert-block__btn-block\" href=\"\/en\/longreads\/208312\">\n            <button class=\"btn\">\n                <div class='btn__text'>Read the article<\/div>\n            <\/button>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Security spending on the rise Rising defense and security spending is a trend across the region. Russia and Ukraine are directly involved in the confrontation, while countries nearby are also increasing military spending. Belarus is no exception: the defense and security component of the national budget continues to expand. Some countries are increasing military budgets [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":46,"featured_media":208443,"template":"","rubric":[24],"class_list":["post-208497","longreads","type-longreads","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","rubric-theviewer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Budget 2027: Guns before butter | Pozirk<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Security spending on the rise Rising defense and security spending is a trend across the region. 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